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Thursday, June 08, 2006

Latest Quinnipiac Poll of Joe Lieberman, Ned Lamont Connecticut Primary

Last month's Quinnipiac poll:

U.S. Sen. Joseph Lieberman gets a 59 - 29 percent approval, compared to 63 - 25 percent February 16. In a possible Democratic primary, the incumbent beats businessman Ned Lamont 65 - 19 percent, with most Lamont supporters saying they are voting against Lieberman.
This month's Quinnipiac poll:
June 8, 2006 - Lamont Gains On Lieberman Among Connecticut Dems, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Rell Rules In Governor's Race

Anti-war Connecticut U.S. Senate candidate Ned Lamont has gained ground on Sen. Joseph Lieberman, and now trails the incumbent 55 - 40 percent among likely Democratic primary voters, including undecided voters who are leaning towards a candidate, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

Among all Democrats, Sen. Lieberman leads 57 - 32 percent, compared to 65 - 19 percent in a May 2 poll by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University.
A couple of observations:

1. Lamont is for real and has huge mo'
2. Lieberman is <50% among Democrats for the first time and will likely continue to sink
3. The difference between likely voters and Democratic voters shows the degree to which turnout will be influenced by inspiration and GOTV (with things not looking good for an unpopular incumbent in an August election)
4. Ned Lamont has plenty of room to grow his support as people find out what he's about
5. Bush=Iraq=Lieberman is a winning message

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